ArgentinaARAustriaATAustraliaAUBelgiumBEBrazilBRSwitzerlandCHGermany - BundesligaDEGermany - 2. BundesligaD2DenmarkDKEngland - Premier LeagueENEngland - ChampionshipE2England - League OneE3England - League TwoE4England - National leagueE5Spain - La LigaESSpain - La Liga 2E2FinlandFIFrance - Ligue 1FRFrance - Ligue 2F2NetherlandsNLItaly - Serie AITItaly - Serie BI2JapanJPNorwayNOPolandPLPortugalPTRussiaRUScotlandSCSwedenSETurkeyTR
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72.7% completed
Feb
Oct
1.85 goals per match
Sat 17 Oct
ATH  0
BET  0
Sat 17 Oct
MAM  1
SER  1
Sat 17 Oct
NAC  1
DGV  1
Sat 17 Oct
TUP  3
IPA  2
Sat 17 Oct
CAP  2
GUA  0
Sat 17 Oct
DSL  0
POU  0

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Visual table
  GP Pts
1  Pouso Alegre 8 18
2  Athletic Club 8 14
3  Democrata SL 8 13
4  Nacional Muriae 8 12
5  Democrata GV 8 12
6  Betim 8 11
7  Guarani MG 8 10
8  Tupi 8 9
9  Serranense 8 9
10  Ipatinga 8 8
11  CAP Uberlandia 8 7
12  Mamore 8 5


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  Sat 17 October
 Tupi  3 - 2  Ipatinga 
Result analysis (post-match data) - How often has this happened for each team this season?
Tupi after 8 league matches Ipatinga after 8 league matches
won 2/8
25%
won by a 1-goal margin 2/8
25%
scored 5/8
62%
scored 2 goals or more 3/8
38%
conceded at least 1 goal 7/8
88%
conceded 2 goals or more 4/8
50%
lost 4/8
50%
lost by a 1-goal margin 4/8
50%
scored 5/8
62%
scored 2 goals or more 2/8
25%
conceded at least 1 goal 6/8
75%
conceded 2 goals or more 2/8
25%
The table above features a summary of match outcome and events in the context of each team's seasonal stats in the league. For example, this is Tupi's 2nd win of the season, and out of a total of 8 league matches played so far, their winning percentage is now 25%.
The table below shows some of the main league-level statistics in relation with the match result, and how often each instance has been observed so far this season in the league. For example, the match ended in a home win, and the total number of home wins all teams combined this season is now 18, representing 38% of the 48 league matches played so far.
All teams combined out of a total of 48 matches this season in the league
Home team won 18/48
38%
Home team won by a 1-goal margin 10/48
21%
Home team scored 30/48
62%
Home team scored 2 goals or more 15/48
31%
Away team scored 28/48
58%
Away team scored 2 goals or more 8/48
17%
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Outcome Surprise-Level relative to pre-match PPG
Points Per Game (before the match)
Tupi at home Ipatinga away Total
1.001.33 2.33
Outcome Outcome Surprise-Level
(any scoreline) (Losing team PPG / Total) * 100
Home win
57.1
Scale: from 0 (less surprising) to 100 (more surprising)



Latest matches' outcome surprise-levels

OutcomeOutcome Surprise-Level
17 Oct Athletic Club - Betim 0 - 0 Draw
60.0 analysis
17 Oct Mamore - Serranense 1 - 1 Draw
20.0 analysis
17 Oct Nacional Muriae - Democrata GV 1 - 1 Draw
0.0 analysis
17 Oct Tupi - Ipatinga 3 - 2 Home win
57.1 analysis
17 Oct CAP Uberlandia - Guarani MG 2 - 0 Home win
72.7 analysis
17 Oct Democrata SL - Pouso Alegre 0 - 0 Draw
28.6 analysis
Scale: from 0 (less surprising) to 100 (more surprising)

Details on the calculation of the Outcome surprise-level are outlined in the following blog article:
Evaluating surprising results







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