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44.2% completed
Aug
Dec
2.05 goals per match
Sat 17 Oct
BUD  1
ZET  0
Sat 17 Oct
PET  1
DEC  1
Sat 17 Oct
POD  2
RUD  0
Sat 17 Oct
ISK  2
JEZ  1
Sat 17 Oct
TIT  0
SUT  0

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Visual table
  GP Pts
1  FK Podgorica 9 18
2  Buducnost 8 18
3  Decic 9 17
4  Sutjeska 8 12
5  FK Iskra 8 12
6  Jezero 9 11
7  Rudar 8 9
8  Zeta 8 8
9  Titograd 9 6
10  Petrovac 8 3


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  Sat 17 October
 FK Iskra  2 - 1  Jezero 
Result analysis (post-match data) - How often has this happened for each team this season?
FK Iskra after 8 league matches Jezero after 9 league matches
won 3/8
38%
won by a 1-goal margin 3/8
38%
scored 5/8
62%
scored 2 goals or more 1/8
12%
conceded at least 1 goal 5/8
62%
conceded exactly 1 goal 4/8
50%
lost 4/9
44%
lost by a 1-goal margin 2/9
22%
scored 5/9
56%
scored exactly 1 goal 5/9
56%
conceded at least 1 goal 5/9
56%
conceded 2 goals or more 3/9
33%
The table above features a summary of match outcome and events in the context of each team's seasonal stats in the league. For example, this is FK Iskra's 3rd win of the season, and out of a total of 8 league matches played so far, their winning percentage is now 38%.
The table below shows some of the main league-level statistics in relation with the match result, and how often each instance has been observed so far this season in the league. For example, the match ended in a home win, and the total number of home wins all teams combined this season is now 22, representing 52% of the 42 league matches played so far.
All teams combined out of a total of 42 matches this season in the league
Home team won 22/42
52%
Home team won by a 1-goal margin 11/42
26%
Home team scored 32/42
76%
Home team scored 2 goals or more 14/42
33%
Away team scored 21/42
50%
Away team scored exactly 1 goal 14/42
33%
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Outcome Surprise-Level relative to pre-match PPG
Points Per Game (before the match)
FK Iskra at home Jezero away Total
1.671.33 3.00
Outcome Outcome Surprise-Level
(any scoreline) (Losing team PPG / Total) * 100
Home win
44.4
Scale: from 0 (less surprising) to 100 (more surprising)



Latest matches' outcome surprise-levels

OutcomeOutcome Surprise-Level
17 Oct Buducnost - Zeta 1 - 0 Home win
30.8 analysis
17 Oct FK Podgorica - Rudar 2 - 0 Home win
0.0 analysis
17 Oct FK Iskra - Jezero 2 - 1 Home win
44.4 analysis
17 Oct Titograd - Sutjeska 0 - 0 Draw
11.1 analysis
Scale: from 0 (less surprising) to 100 (more surprising)

Details on the calculation of the Outcome surprise-level are outlined in the following blog article:
Evaluating surprising results







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