|
|
Result analysis (post-match data) - How often has this happened for each team this season?
|
|
Stratford Town after 8 league matches
|
Redditch Utd after 8 league matches
|
| won |
5/8 |
|
62%
|
| won by a 1-goal margin |
4/8 |
|
50%
|
| scored |
8/8 |
|
100%
|
| scored 2 goals or more |
7/8 |
|
88%
|
| conceded at least 1 goal |
8/8 |
|
100%
|
| conceded exactly 1 goal |
4/8 |
|
50%
|
|
| lost |
2/8 |
|
25%
|
| lost by a 1-goal margin |
1/8 |
|
12%
|
| scored |
8/8 |
|
100%
|
| scored exactly 1 goal |
5/8 |
|
62%
|
| conceded at least 1 goal |
6/8 |
|
75%
|
| conceded 2 goals or more |
3/8 |
|
38%
|
|
|
The table above features a summary of match outcome and events in the context of each team's seasonal stats in the league.
For example, this is Stratford Town's 5th win of the season, and out of a total of 8 league matches played so far, their winning percentage is now 62%.
|
|
The table below shows some of the main league-level statistics
in relation with the match result, and how often each instance has been observed so far this season in the league.
For example, the match ended in a home win, and the total number of home wins all teams combined this season is now 38, representing 46% of the 83 league matches played so far.
|
|
All teams combined out of a total of 83 matches this season in the league
|
| Home team won |
38/83 |
|
46%
|
| Home team won by a 1-goal margin |
18/83 |
|
22%
|
| Home team scored |
71/83 |
|
86%
|
| Home team scored 2 goals or more |
40/83 |
|
48%
|
| Away team scored |
68/83 |
|
82%
|
| Away team scored exactly 1 goal |
38/83 |
|
46%
|
|
Search league results
|
| Outcome Surprise-Level relative to pre-match PPG |
| Points Per Game (before the match) |
| Stratford Town at home |
Redditch Utd away |
Total |
| 2.00 | 1.33 |
3.33 |
| Outcome |
Outcome Surprise-Level |
| (any scoreline) |
(Losing team PPG / Total) * 100 |
| Home win |
|
40.0 |
| Scale: from 0 (less surprising) to 100 (more surprising) |
|
Latest matches' outcome surprise-levels
| Outcome | Outcome Surprise-Level | |
|---|
| 3 Nov |
Alvechurch - Nuneaton Town |
0 - 2 |
Away win |
|
80.0 |
analysis
|
| 3 Nov |
Leiston - Kings Langley |
1 - 0 |
Home win |
|
69.2 |
analysis
|
| 27 Oct |
Hednesford - Bromsgrove |
5 - 1 |
Home win |
|
50.0 |
analysis
|
| 27 Oct |
Barwell - Rushall |
1 - 3 |
Away win |
|
37.5 |
analysis
|
| 27 Oct |
Stratford Town - Redditch Utd |
2 - 1 |
Home win |
|
40.0 |
analysis
|
| Scale: from 0 (less surprising) to 100 (more surprising) |
Details on the calculation of the Outcome surprise-level are outlined in the following blog article:
Evaluating surprising results |
