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wales_2026
Wales - Cymru Premier
SUMMARY MATCHES H2H GOALS
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Visual table

  GP Pts
1  The New Saints 32 80
2  Connahs Quay 32 58
3  Haverfordwest 32 48
4  Barry 32 46
5  Caernarfon 32 45
6  Colwyn Bay 32 45
7  Briton Ferry 32 45
8  Penybont 32 41
9  Cardiff MU 32 38
10  Flint 32 35
11  Bala Town 32 32
12  Llanelli Town 32 13

 
Wed 31 Dec 2025
Bala Town0 1Caernarfon






Seasonal streaks


2nd consecutive defeat for Bala Town.
2nd consecutive home defeat for Bala Town.
2nd consecutive game with no goal scored for Bala Town.
2nd consecutive home game with no goal scored for Bala Town.
3rd consecutive game where Caernarfon scored.
5th consecutive game where Bala Town conceded.
3rd consecutive home game where Bala Town conceded.
 

 

Outcome Surprise-Level

Points Per Game (before the match)
Bala Town at home1.10
Caernarfon away1.60
OutcomeOutcome surprise-level
Away win
41.7%
Scale: from 0 (less surprising) to 100 (more surprising)

Outcome Surprise-levels

More information on the calculation of the Outcome surprise-level is outlined in the following blog article:
Evaluating surprising results







 






 flag

Bala Town

(regular season)

Seasonal match statistics

GP W D L  
  Home 16 3 7 6  
  Away 16 5 1 10  
  Total 32 8 8 16  




Bala Town's progression (home & away)

Line graph variation:   win:+2  draw:0  defeat:-1
 




Results

  Bala Town results 2.5+ CS FTS
8 Aug 25 Bala Town 1:1 Flint - - -
22 Aug 25 Bala Town 1:0 Colwyn Bay - + -
25 Aug 25 Caernarfon 2:0 Bala Town - - +
30 Aug 25 Llanelli Town 0:1 Bala Town - + -
2 Sep 25 Connahs Quay 1:3 Bala Town + - -
6 Sep 25 Bala Town 0:0 Penybont - + +
13 Sep 25 Barry 4:0 Bala Town + - +
19 Sep 25 Bala Town 2:2 Briton Ferry + - -
23 Sep 25 Colwyn Bay 0:1 Bala Town - + -
26 Sep 25 Bala Town 0:2 The New Saints - - +
4 Oct 25 Cardiff MU 2:0 Bala Town - - +
7 Oct 25 Bala Town 1:3 Connahs Quay + - -
10 Oct 25 Haverfordwest 2:0 Bala Town - - +
25 Oct 25 Bala Town 0:0 Barry - + +
31 Oct 25 Bala Town 1:0 Llanelli Town - + -
7 Nov 25 Briton Ferry 2:0 Bala Town - - +
15 Nov 25 Penybont 2:1 Bala Town + - -
29 Nov 25 Bala Town 2:2 Cardiff MU + - -
5 Dec 25 Bala Town 0:2 Haverfordwest - - +
31 Dec 25 Bala Town 0:1 Caernarfon - - +
6 Jan 26 The New Saints 2:1 Bala Town + - -
13 Jan 26 Flint 0:4 Bala Town + + -
23 Jan 26 Bala Town 3:4 Flint + - -
7 Feb 26 Bala Town 1:1 Cardiff MU - - -
13 Feb 26 Haverfordwest 3:0 Bala Town + - +
21 Feb 26 Briton Ferry 2:1 Bala Town + - -
27 Feb 26 Bala Town 0:0 Llanelli Town - + +
14 Mar 26 Flint 1:1 Bala Town - - -
21 Mar 26 Bala Town 1:0 Haverfordwest - + -
28 Mar 26 Cardiff MU 2:1 Bala Town + - -
3 Apr 26 Llanelli Town 0:5 Bala Town + + -
18 Apr 26 Bala Town 1:2 Briton Ferry + - -
















Comparison with league average


Bala Town (32 matches) vs league average

(overall)Bala Town League AVG
Points per game  1.00 1.37
% Wins  25% 37%
% Draws  25% 26%
% Defeats  50% 37%
Goals scored per game  1.03 1.45
Goals conceded per game  1.41 1.45
% Clean sheets  31% 29%
% Failed To Score  38% 29%
% Won To Nil  22% 21%
% Lost To Nil  28% 21%
Total goals per game  2.44 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  72% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  44% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  25% 36%
% both teams scored  41% 51%

Bala Town at home (16 matches) vs league average at home

(home matches)Bala Town League AVG
Points per game  1.00 1.34
% Wins  19% 36%
% Draws  44% 26%
% Defeats  38% 38%
Goals scored per game  0.88 1.48
Goals conceded per game  1.25 1.41
% Clean sheets  38% 28%
% Failed To Score  38% 30%
% Won To Nil  19% 19%
% Lost To Nil  19% 22%
Total goals per game  2.13 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  56% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  31% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  25% 36%
% both teams scored  44% 51%

Bala Town away (16 matches) vs league average away

(away matches)Bala Town League AVG
Points per game  1.00 1.40
% Wins  31% 38%
% Draws  6% 26%
% Defeats  62% 36%
Goals scored per game  1.19 1.41
Goals conceded per game  1.56 1.48
% Clean sheets  25% 30%
% Failed To Score  38% 28%
% Won To Nil  25% 22%
% Lost To Nil  38% 19%
Total goals per game  2.75 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  88% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  56% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  25% 36%
% both teams scored  38% 51%
The 'League average' indicator refers to the average value for all teams in the league since the beginning of the season.

Results table

  GP Pts Home Away
1 The New Saints 32 80 0:2 2:1 h2h
   
2 Connahs Quay 32 58 1:3 1:3 h2h
   
3 Haverfordwest 32 48 0:2 2:0 h2h
1:0 3:0
4 Barry 32 46 0:0 4:0 h2h
   
5 Caernarfon 32 45 0:1 2:0 h2h
   
6 Colwyn Bay 32 45 1:0 0:1 h2h
   
7 Briton Ferry 32 45 2:2 2:0 h2h
1:2 2:1
8 Penybont 32 41 0:0 2:1 h2h
   
9 Cardiff MU 32 38 2:2 2:0 h2h
1:1 2:1
10 Flint 32 35 1:1 0:4 h2h
3:4 1:1
11 Bala Town 32 32
12 Llanelli Town 32 13 1:0 0:1 h2h
0:0 0:5








Goals scored & conceded

SCORING Home Away All
Goals scored (GF) 14 1933
GF per match 0.881.19 1.03
Goals conceded (GA) 202545
GA per match 1.251.56 1.41
GF + GA per match 2.132.752.44
GF+GA over 0.5 81%100%91%
GF+GA over 1.5 56%88%72%
GF+GA over 2.5 31%56%44%
GF+GA over 3.5 25%25%25%
GF+GA over 4.5 6%6%6%
GF+GA over 5.5 6%0%3%








No goal scored / conceded

Home Away All
Clean sheets 38%25%31%
Won-to-nil 19%25%22%
Failed to score 38%38%38%
Lost-to-nil 19%38%28%








Scoring & Conceding rates

Home Away All
Scoring Rate 62%62%62%
Conceding Rate 62%75%69%

Scoring rate: percentage of matches where the team scored at least one goal
Conceding rate: percentage of matches where the team conceded at least one goal








Goals scored / Goals conceded

Home Away All
GF over 0.5 62%62%62%
GF over 1.5 19%19%19%
GF over 2.5 6%19%12%
GF over 3.5 0%12%6%
GF over 4.5 0%6%3%
GA over 0.5 62%75%69%
GA over 1.5 44%62%53%
GA over 2.5 12%12%12%
GA over 3.5 6%6%6%
GA over 4.5 0%0%0%

GF: goals scored
GA: goals conceded









Total goals in Bala Town matches

SCORED + CONCEDED Home Away All
Match total goals = 0 19%0%9%
Match total goals = 1 25%12%19%
Match total goals = 2 25%31%28%
Match total goals = 3 6%31%19%
Match total goals = 4 19%19%19%
Match total goals = 5+ 6%6%6%
Match total goals = 0 or 1 44%12%28%
Match total goals = 2 or 3 31%62%47%
Match total goals = 4+ 25%25%25%








Goal margins

WINNING MARGINS  1  2   3  4+ 
Home wins  30 00
Away wins  21 02
Home & Away wins  51 02
LOSING MARGINS  1  2   3  4+ 
Home defeats  33 00
Away defeats  44 11
Home & Away defeats  77 11

A majority of Bala Town's wins have been obtained with a one-goal margin (5 wins), while 3 of their wins had a margin of 2 goals or more.

A majority of Bala Town's defeats had a margin of 2 goals or more (9 defeats), while 7 of their defeats had a one-goal margin.









Home vs Away comparisons

Home / Away points Home Away
  % Points 50%
50%




Home / Away PPG
 Points Per Game at Home (PPGH)1.00
 Points Per Game Away (PPGA)1.00
Home / Away goals Home Away
  % Goals scored 42%
58%
  % Goals conceded 44%
56%
  League average 51%
49%







Bala Town scores

FT at home
1-0 3 19%
0-0 3 19%
2-2 2 12%
0-2 2 12%
1-1 2 12%
3-4 1 6%
1-3 1 6%
1-2 1 6%
0-1 1 6%
FT away
2-1 4 25%
2-0 4 25%
0-1 2 12%
0-5 1 6%
0-4 1 6%
1-3 1 6%
1-1 1 6%
4-0 1 6%
3-0 1 6%



 flag

Caernarfon

(regular season)

Seasonal match statistics

GP W D L  
  Home 16 6 3 7  
  Away 16 6 6 4  
  Total 32 12 9 11  




Caernarfon's progression (home & away)

Line graph variation:   win:+2  draw:0  defeat:-1
 




Results

  Caernarfon results 2.5+ CS FTS
9 Aug 25 Cardiff MU 2:2 Caernarfon + - -
16 Aug 25 Caernarfon 6:1 Llanelli Town + - -
22 Aug 25 Flint 2:5 Caernarfon + - -
25 Aug 25 Caernarfon 2:0 Bala Town - + -
30 Aug 25 Haverfordwest 1:1 Caernarfon - - -
7 Sep 25 Caernarfon 3:1 Barry + - -
13 Sep 25 Briton Ferry 2:5 Caernarfon + - -
20 Sep 25 Caernarfon 1:2 Penybont + - -
23 Sep 25 Connahs Quay 1:2 Caernarfon + - -
28 Sep 25 Caernarfon 0:3 Cardiff MU + - +
4 Oct 25 Colwyn Bay 1:0 Caernarfon - - +
7 Oct 25 Caernarfon 1:3 The New Saints + - -
11 Oct 25 Barry 2:2 Caernarfon + - -
25 Oct 25 Penybont 0:2 Caernarfon - + -
1 Nov 25 Caernarfon 4:1 Briton Ferry + - -
8 Nov 25 Caernarfon 2:2 Haverfordwest + - -
15 Nov 25 Llanelli Town 1:1 Caernarfon - - -
28 Nov 25 The New Saints 2:0 Caernarfon - - +
5 Dec 25 Caernarfon 1:1 Flint - - -
27 Dec 25 Caernarfon 1:2 Colwyn Bay + - -
31 Dec 25 Bala Town 0:1 Caernarfon - + -
13 Jan 26 Caernarfon 2:2 Connahs Quay + - -
24 Jan 26 Penybont 0:0 Caernarfon - + +
6 Feb 26 Connahs Quay 1:1 Caernarfon - - -
14 Feb 26 Caernarfon 0:2 Barry - - +
20 Feb 26 The New Saints 2:1 Caernarfon + - -
27 Feb 26 Caernarfon 3:0 Colwyn Bay + + -
13 Mar 26 Caernarfon 2:4 Connahs Quay + - -
21 Mar 26 Barry 2:1 Caernarfon + - -
27 Mar 26 Caernarfon 0:4 The New Saints + - +
3 Apr 26 Colwyn Bay 0:2 Caernarfon - + -
18 Apr 26 Caernarfon 2:0 Penybont - + -
















Comparison with league average


Caernarfon (32 matches) vs league average

(overall)Caernarfon League AVG
Points per game  1.41 1.37
% Wins  38% 37%
% Draws  28% 26%
% Defeats  34% 37%
Goals scored per game  1.75 1.45
Goals conceded per game  1.47 1.45
% Clean sheets  22% 29%
% Failed To Score  19% 29%
% Won To Nil  19% 21%
% Lost To Nil  16% 21%
Total goals per game  3.22 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  91% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  59% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  38% 36%
% both teams scored  62% 51%

Caernarfon at home (16 matches) vs league average at home

(home matches)Caernarfon League AVG
Points per game  1.31 1.34
% Wins  38% 36%
% Draws  19% 26%
% Defeats  44% 38%
Goals scored per game  1.88 1.48
Goals conceded per game  1.75 1.41
% Clean sheets  19% 28%
% Failed To Score  19% 30%
% Won To Nil  19% 19%
% Lost To Nil  19% 22%
Total goals per game  3.63 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  100% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  75% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  50% 36%
% both teams scored  62% 51%

Caernarfon away (16 matches) vs league average away

(away matches)Caernarfon League AVG
Points per game  1.50 1.40
% Wins  38% 38%
% Draws  38% 26%
% Defeats  25% 36%
Goals scored per game  1.63 1.41
Goals conceded per game  1.19 1.48
% Clean sheets  25% 30%
% Failed To Score  19% 28%
% Won To Nil  19% 22%
% Lost To Nil  12% 19%
Total goals per game  2.81 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  81% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  44% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  25% 36%
% both teams scored  62% 51%
The 'League average' indicator refers to the average value for all teams in the league since the beginning of the season.

Results table

  GP Pts Home Away
1 The New Saints 32 80 1:3 2:0 h2h
0:4 2:1
2 Connahs Quay 32 58 2:2 1:2 h2h
2:4 1:1
3 Haverfordwest 32 48 2:2 1:1 h2h
   
4 Barry 32 46 3:1 2:2 h2h
0:2 2:1
5 Caernarfon 32 45
6 Colwyn Bay 32 45 1:2 1:0 h2h
3:0 0:2
7 Briton Ferry 32 45 4:1 2:5 h2h
   
8 Penybont 32 41 1:2 0:2 h2h
2:0 0:0
9 Cardiff MU 32 38 0:3 2:2 h2h
   
10 Flint 32 35 1:1 2:5 h2h
   
11 Bala Town 32 32 2:0 0:1 h2h
   
12 Llanelli Town 32 13 6:1 1:1 h2h
   








Goals scored & conceded

SCORING Home Away All
Goals scored (GF) 30 2656
GF per match 1.881.63 1.75
Goals conceded (GA) 281947
GA per match 1.751.19 1.47
GF + GA per match 3.632.813.22
GF+GA over 0.5 100%94%97%
GF+GA over 1.5 100%81%91%
GF+GA over 2.5 75%44%59%
GF+GA over 3.5 50%25%38%
GF+GA over 4.5 19%12%16%
GF+GA over 5.5 12%12%12%








No goal scored / conceded

Home Away All
Clean sheets 19%25%22%
Won-to-nil 19%19%19%
Failed to score 19%19%19%
Lost-to-nil 19%12%16%








Scoring & Conceding rates

Home Away All
Scoring Rate 81%81%81%
Conceding Rate 81%75%78%

Scoring rate: percentage of matches where the team scored at least one goal
Conceding rate: percentage of matches where the team conceded at least one goal








Goals scored / Goals conceded

Home Away All
GF over 0.5 81%81%81%
GF over 1.5 56%44%50%
GF over 2.5 25%12%19%
GF over 3.5 12%12%12%
GF over 4.5 6%12%9%
GA over 0.5 81%75%78%
GA over 1.5 56%44%50%
GA over 2.5 25%0%12%
GA over 3.5 12%0%6%
GA over 4.5 0%0%0%

GF: goals scored
GA: goals conceded









Total goals in Caernarfon matches

SCORED + CONCEDED Home Away All
Match total goals = 0 0%6%3%
Match total goals = 1 0%12%6%
Match total goals = 2 25%38%31%
Match total goals = 3 25%19%22%
Match total goals = 4 31%12%22%
Match total goals = 5+ 19%12%16%
Match total goals = 0 or 1 0%19%9%
Match total goals = 2 or 3 50%56%53%
Match total goals = 4+ 50%25%38%








Goal margins

WINNING MARGINS  1  2   3  4+ 
Home wins  03 21
Away wins  22 20
Home & Away wins  25 41
LOSING MARGINS  1  2   3  4+ 
Home defeats  23 11
Away defeats  31 00
Home & Away defeats  54 11

A majority of Caernarfon's wins have been obtained with a margin of 2 goals or more (10 wins), while 2 of their wins had a one-goal margin.

A majority of Caernarfon's defeats had a margin of 2 goals or more (6 defeats), while 5 of their defeats had a one-goal margin.









Home vs Away comparisons

Home / Away points Home Away
  % Points 47%
53%




Home / Away PPG
 Points Per Game at Home (PPGH)1.31
 Points Per Game Away (PPGA)1.50
Home / Away goals Home Away
  % Goals scored 54%
46%
  % Goals conceded 60%
40%
  League average 51%
49%







Caernarfon scores

FT at home
2-2 2 12%
1-2 2 12%
2-0 2 12%
6-1 1 6%
2-4 1 6%
0-4 1 6%
1-3 1 6%
0-3 1 6%
0-2 1 6%
4-1 1 6%
3-1 1 6%
1-1 1 6%
3-0 1 6%
FT away
1-1 3 19%
2-5 2 12%
2-2 2 12%
0-2 2 12%
2-1 2 12%
1-2 1 6%
0-1 1 6%
2-0 1 6%
1-0 1 6%
0-0 1 6%
The Caernarfon score with the most occurences in away matches during the season in the league has been 1-1 so far (3 times).








Tables overview

Points

GP pts
The New Sain. 32 80
Connahs Quay 32 58
Haverfordwest 32 48
Barry 32 46
Caernarfon 32 45
Colwyn Bay 32 45
Briton Ferry 32 45
Penybont 32 41
Cardiff MU 32 38
Flint 32 35
Bala Town 32 32
Llanelli Town 32 13

Form (last 8)

GP pts
The New Sain. 8 21
Haverfordwest 8 18
Briton Ferry 8 17
Barry 8 16
Colwyn Bay 8 11
Connahs Quay 8 9
Caernarfon 8 9
Cardiff MU 8 9
Bala Town 8 8
Flint 8 8
Llanelli Town 8 5
Penybont 8 2

Home

GP pts
The New Sain. 16 39
Connahs Quay 16 29
Barry 16 26
Haverfordwest 16 26
Colwyn Bay 16 23
Caernarfon 16 21
Penybont 16 21
Briton Ferry 16 19
Cardiff MU 16 18
Bala Town 16 16
Flint 16 14
Llanelli Town 16 5

Away

GP pts
The New Sain. 16 41
Connahs Quay 16 29
Briton Ferry 16 26
Caernarfon 16 24
Colwyn Bay 16 22
Haverfordwest 16 22
Flint 16 21
Cardiff MU 16 20
Barry 16 20
Penybont 16 20
Bala Town 16 16
Llanelli Town 16 8

Offence

GP GF
The New Sain. 32 81
Connahs Quay 32 61
Caernarfon 32 56
Flint 32 48
Haverfordwest 32 48
Briton Ferry 32 46
Barry 32 43
Cardiff MU 32 43
Colwyn Bay 32 41
Penybont 32 39
Bala Town 32 33
Llanelli Town 32 17

Defence

GP GA
The New Sain. 32 25
Barry 32 33
Colwyn Bay 32 37
Connahs Quay 32 38
Haverfordwest 32 43
Bala Town 32 45
Caernarfon 32 47
Briton Ferry 32 47
Penybont 32 49
Cardiff MU 32 51
Flint 32 59
Llanelli Town 32 82


 

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