Wales - Cymru Premier - match details and result analysis

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Wales - Cymru Premier

Sat 22 Apr
ABE	3
CAE	2

Sat 22 Apr
AIR	1
HAV	4

Sat 22 Apr
CAR	2
BAL	1

Sat 22 Apr
PEN	2
NEW	1

Sat 22 Apr
PON	3
FLI	2

Sat 22 Apr
TNS	4
CON	1

Visual table
		GP	Pts
1	The New Saints	32	83

2	Connah`s Quay	32	61

3	Penybont	32	58

4	Cardiff MU	32	52

5	Haverfordwest	32	47

6	Bala Town	32	44

7	Newtown	32	41

8	Pontypridd Town	32	41

9	Caernarfon Town	32	39

10	Aberystwyth	32	38

11	Flint	32	35

12	Airbus UK	32	-4

Team-level result analysis


Aberystwyth	3		2	Caernarfon Town

How often have such result conditions occurred for each team this season?

Aberystwyth after 32 league matches

Caernarfon Town after 32 league matches

won	11/32	34%
won by a 1-goal margin	10/32	31%
scored	24/32	75%
scored 2 goals or more	10/32	31%
conceded at least 1 goal	30/32	94%
conceded 2 goals or more	17/32	53%

lost	17/32	53%
lost by a 1-goal margin	10/32	31%
scored	24/32	75%
scored 2 goals or more	17/32	53%
conceded at least 1 goal	25/32	78%
conceded 2 goals or more	17/32	53%

The table above features a summary of match outcomes and events in the context of each team's seasonal stats in the league. For example, this is Aberystwyth's 11th win of the season, and out of a total of 32 league matches played so far, their winning percentage is now 34%.

Filter Aberystwyth results

Filter Caernarfon Town results

League-level result analysis


Aberystwyth	3		2	Caernarfon Town

Match result relative to all 192 league results recorded so far this season

FT score was 3-2	6/192	3%
Home team won	97/192	51%
Home team won by a 1-goal margin	48/192	25%
Home team scored	146/192	76%
Home team scored 2 goals or more	94/192	49%
Away team scored	133/192	69%
Away team scored 2 goals or more	64/192	33%

The league-level result analysis table shows some of the main league-level statistics in relation with the match result, and how often each instance has been observed so far this season in the league. For example, the match ended in a home win, and the total number of home wins all teams combined this season is now 97, representing 51% of the 192 league matches played so far.

Outcome Surprise-Level

Points Per Game (before the match)
Aberystwyth at home	Caernarfon Town away	Total
1.53	0.93	2.47

Outcome	Outcome Surprise-Level
(any scoreline)	(Losing team PPG / Total) * 100
Home win		37.8
Scale: from 0 (less surprising) to 100 (more surprising)

Latest matches' outcome surprise-levels

			Outcome	Outcome Surprise-Level
22 Apr	Aberystwyth - Caernarfon Town	3 - 2	Home win		37.8	analysis
22 Apr	Airbus UK - Haverfordwest	1 - 4	Away win		7.1	analysis
22 Apr	Cardiff MU - Bala Town	2 - 1	Home win		38.3	analysis
22 Apr	Penybont - Newtown	2 - 1	Home win		41.7	analysis
22 Apr	Pontypridd Town - Flint	3 - 2	Home win		35.9	analysis
22 Apr	The New Saints - Connah's Quay	4 - 1	Home win		34.8	analysis
Scale: from 0 (less surprising) to 100 (more surprising)

Details on the calculation of the Outcome surprise-level are outlined in the following blog article:
Evaluating surprising results

Tables overview

League table
		GP	pts
	The New Saints	32	83
	Connah`s Quay	32	61
	Penybont	32	58
	Cardiff MU	32	52
	Haverfordwest	32	47
	Bala Town	32	44
	Newtown	32	41
	Pontypridd T.	32	41
	Caernarfon T.	32	39
	Aberystwyth	32	38
	Flint	32	35
	Airbus UK	32	-4

Form table (last 8)
		GP	pts
	The New Saints	8	20
	Haverfordwest	8	17
	Pontypridd T.	8	17
	Aberystwyth	8	15
	Connah`s Quay	8	15
	Penybont	8	13
	Caernarfon T.	8	8
	Flint	8	8
	Cardiff MU	8	8
	Newtown	8	7
	Bala Town	8	2
	Airbus UK	8	1

Home
		GP	pts
	The New Saints	16	46
	Connah`s Quay	16	38
	Cardiff MU	16	32
	Penybont	16	31
	Haverfordwest	16	31
	Pontypridd T.	16	28
	Bala Town	16	26
	Aberystwyth	16	26
	Caernarfon T.	16	25
	Newtown	16	21
	Flint	16	21
	Airbus UK	16	1

Away
		GP	pts
	The New Saints	16	37
	Penybont	16	27
	Connah`s Quay	16	23
	Newtown	16	20
	Cardiff MU	16	20
	Bala Town	16	18
	Haverfordwest	16	16
	Caernarfon T.	16	14
	Flint	16	14
	Pontypridd T.	16	13
	Aberystwyth	16	12
	Airbus UK	16	1

Offence
		GP	GF
	The New Saints	32	112
	Bala Town	32	51
	Caernarfon T.	32	51
	Penybont	32	51
	Haverfordwest	32	49
	Newtown	32	49
	Connah`s Quay	32	45
	Aberystwyth	32	41
	Cardiff MU	32	41
	Flint	32	41
	Pontypridd T.	32	41
	Airbus UK	32	18

Defence
		GP	GA
	The New Saints	32	17
	Connah`s Quay	32	23
	Penybont	32	32
	Bala Town	32	37
	Haverfordwest	32	44
	Cardiff MU	32	49
	Pontypridd T.	32	52
	Flint	32	53
	Caernarfon T.	32	54
	Newtown	32	56
	Aberystwyth	32	73
	Airbus UK	32	100

Segments Table

0 pt

83 pts

5th Segment	4th Segment	3rd Segment	2nd Segment	1st Segment
up to 16.2 pts	from 16.3 to 32.9 pts	from 33.0 to 49.6 pts	from 49.7 to 66.3 pts	from 66.4 to 83 pts
(32) -4 Airbus UK		(32) 47 Haverfordwest (32) 44 Bala Town (32) 41 Newtown (32) 41 Pontypridd Town (32) 39 Caernarfon Town (32) 38 Aberystwyth (32) 35 Flint	(32) 61 Connah`s Quay (32) 58 Penybont (32) 52 Cardiff MU	(32) 83 The New Saints

The Segments Table is a visual representation splitting the teams into 5 segments. Each team is assigned to a specific segment, depending on the team's number of points. Each of the 5 segments spans one-fifth (20%) of the total points held by the team ranked 1st in the league. For each team, the number of matches played appears in green between brackets, and the number of points is displayed in black.

League statistics

192 matches played / 192

Aug

Apr

100.0% completed

Home wins:	51%	Over 1.5 goals:	81%
Draws:	18%	Over 2.5 goals:	58%
Away wins:	31%	Over 3.5 goals:	32%

Goals:	590	Home goals per match:	1.67
Goals per match:	3.07	Away goals per match:	1.41
		Both teams scored:	52%

Results

Tables

Home / Away tables

Wide table

Form tables

Analysis

More statistics tables can be accessed from the 'Statistics' dropdown list on the league navigation menu.

The number of matches included in the regular season may differ depending on the way each league is structured. For most national leagues, the stats above relate to the selected league competition in the regular season, excluding playoff matches. Some leagues include additional rounds of matches, for which dedicated group tables may be featured on this page. When such group tables are displayed on the main league page, the stats above also include the matches related to those tables.