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wales_2026
Wales - Cymru Premier
SUMMARY MATCHES H2H GOALS
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Visual table

  GP Pts
1  The New Saints 32 80
2  Connahs Quay 32 58
3  Haverfordwest 32 48
4  Barry 32 46
5  Caernarfon 32 45
6  Colwyn Bay 32 45
7  Briton Ferry 32 45
8  Penybont 32 41
9  Cardiff MU 32 38
10  Flint 32 35
11  Bala Town 32 32
12  Llanelli Town 32 13

 
Fri 19 Sep 2025
Cardiff MU1 3The New Saints






Seasonal streaks


2nd consecutive home defeat for Cardiff MU.
3rd consecutive win for The New Saints.
8th consecutive game where Cardiff MU scored.
4th consecutive home game where Cardiff MU scored.
3rd consecutive game where The New Saints scored.
8th consecutive game where Cardiff MU conceded.
4th consecutive home game where Cardiff MU conceded.
 

 

Outcome Surprise-Level

Points Per Game (before the match)
Cardiff MU at home0.67
The New Saints away1.67
OutcomeOutcome surprise-level
Away win
33.3%
Scale: from 0 (less surprising) to 100 (more surprising)

Outcome Surprise-levels

More information on the calculation of the Outcome surprise-level is outlined in the following blog article:
Evaluating surprising results







 






 flag

Cardiff MU

(regular season)

Seasonal match statistics

GP W D L  
  Home 16 4 6 6  
  Away 16 4 8 4  
  Total 32 8 14 10  




Cardiff MU's progression (home & away)

Line graph variation:   win:+2  draw:0  defeat:-1
 




Results

  Cardiff MU results 2.5+ CS FTS
9 Aug 25 Cardiff MU 2:2 Caernarfon + - -
15 Aug 25 Briton Ferry 1:1 Cardiff MU - - -
22 Aug 25 Haverfordwest 2:2 Cardiff MU + - -
25 Aug 25 Cardiff MU 1:1 Barry - - -
30 Aug 25 Flint 4:2 Cardiff MU + - -
6 Sep 25 Cardiff MU 1:4 Colwyn Bay + - -
13 Sep 25 Connahs Quay 1:1 Cardiff MU - - -
19 Sep 25 Cardiff MU 1:3 The New Saints + - -
23 Sep 25 Cardiff MU 0:4 Penybont + - +
28 Sep 25 Caernarfon 0:3 Cardiff MU + + -
4 Oct 25 Cardiff MU 2:0 Bala Town - + -
7 Oct 25 Llanelli Town 1:3 Cardiff MU + - -
11 Oct 25 Colwyn Bay 0:0 Cardiff MU - + +
25 Oct 25 Cardiff MU 4:1 Flint + - -
1 Nov 25 Cardiff MU 0:3 Connahs Quay + - +
7 Nov 25 The New Saints 2:3 Cardiff MU + - -
29 Nov 25 Bala Town 2:2 Cardiff MU + - -
5 Dec 25 Cardiff MU 2:1 Llanelli Town + - -
16 Dec 25 Cardiff MU 2:2 Briton Ferry + - -
26 Dec 25 Barry 1:0 Cardiff MU - - +
30 Dec 25 Cardiff MU 0:0 Haverfordwest - + +
13 Jan 26 Penybont 1:1 Cardiff MU - - -
23 Jan 26 Cardiff MU 0:2 Haverfordwest - - +
7 Feb 26 Bala Town 1:1 Cardiff MU - - -
13 Feb 26 Cardiff MU 1:1 Llanelli Town - - -
21 Feb 26 Flint 1:1 Cardiff MU - - -
13 Mar 26 Haverfordwest 1:0 Cardiff MU - - +
16 Mar 26 Cardiff MU 0:2 Briton Ferry - - +
20 Mar 26 Llanelli Town 1:2 Cardiff MU + - -
28 Mar 26 Cardiff MU 2:1 Bala Town + - -
3 Apr 26 Briton Ferry 3:1 Cardiff MU + - -
18 Apr 26 Cardiff MU 2:2 Flint + - -
















Comparison with league average


Cardiff MU (32 matches) vs league average

(overall)Cardiff MU League AVG
Points per game  1.19 1.37
% Wins  25% 37%
% Draws  44% 26%
% Defeats  31% 37%
Goals scored per game  1.34 1.45
Goals conceded per game  1.59 1.45
% Clean sheets  12% 29%
% Failed To Score  25% 29%
% Won To Nil  6% 21%
% Lost To Nil  19% 21%
Total goals per game  2.94 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  88% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  56% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  41% 36%
% both teams scored  69% 51%

Cardiff MU at home (16 matches) vs league average at home

(home matches)Cardiff MU League AVG
Points per game  1.13 1.34
% Wins  25% 36%
% Draws  38% 26%
% Defeats  38% 38%
Goals scored per game  1.25 1.48
Goals conceded per game  1.81 1.41
% Clean sheets  12% 28%
% Failed To Score  31% 30%
% Won To Nil  6% 19%
% Lost To Nil  25% 22%
Total goals per game  3.06 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  94% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  62% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  44% 36%
% both teams scored  62% 51%

Cardiff MU away (16 matches) vs league average away

(away matches)Cardiff MU League AVG
Points per game  1.25 1.40
% Wins  25% 38%
% Draws  50% 26%
% Defeats  25% 36%
Goals scored per game  1.44 1.41
Goals conceded per game  1.38 1.48
% Clean sheets  12% 30%
% Failed To Score  19% 28%
% Won To Nil  6% 22%
% Lost To Nil  12% 19%
Total goals per game  2.81 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  81% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  50% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  38% 36%
% both teams scored  75% 51%
The 'League average' indicator refers to the average value for all teams in the league since the beginning of the season.

Results table

  GP Pts Home Away
1 The New Saints 32 80 1:3 2:3 h2h
   
2 Connahs Quay 32 58 0:3 1:1 h2h
   
3 Haverfordwest 32 48 0:0 2:2 h2h
0:2 1:0
4 Barry 32 46 1:1 1:0 h2h
   
5 Caernarfon 32 45 2:2 0:3 h2h
   
6 Colwyn Bay 32 45 1:4 0:0 h2h
   
7 Briton Ferry 32 45 2:2 1:1 h2h
0:2 3:1
8 Penybont 32 41 0:4 1:1 h2h
   
9 Cardiff MU 32 38
10 Flint 32 35 4:1 4:2 h2h
2:2 1:1
11 Bala Town 32 32 2:0 2:2 h2h
2:1 1:1
12 Llanelli Town 32 13 2:1 1:3 h2h
1:1 1:2

Cardiff MU stats rank the team in 9th position in the the league table with 38 points, 3 points behind Penybont and 3 points above Flint.








Goals scored & conceded

SCORING Home Away All
Goals scored (GF) 20 2343
GF per match 1.251.44 1.34
Goals conceded (GA) 292251
GA per match 1.811.38 1.59
GF + GA per match 3.062.812.94
GF+GA over 0.5 94%94%94%
GF+GA over 1.5 94%81%88%
GF+GA over 2.5 62%50%56%
GF+GA over 3.5 44%38%41%
GF+GA over 4.5 12%12%12%
GF+GA over 5.5 0%6%3%








No goal scored / conceded

Home Away All
Clean sheets 12%12%12%
Won-to-nil 6%6%6%
Failed to score 31%19%25%
Lost-to-nil 25%12%19%








Scoring & Conceding rates

Home Away All
Scoring Rate 69%81%75%
Conceding Rate 88%88%88%

Scoring rate: percentage of matches where the team scored at least one goal
Conceding rate: percentage of matches where the team conceded at least one goal








Goals scored / Goals conceded

Home Away All
GF over 0.5 69%81%75%
GF over 1.5 44%44%44%
GF over 2.5 6%19%12%
GF over 3.5 6%0%3%
GF over 4.5 0%0%0%
GA over 0.5 88%88%88%
GA over 1.5 56%31%44%
GA over 2.5 25%12%19%
GA over 3.5 12%6%9%
GA over 4.5 0%0%0%

GF: goals scored
GA: goals conceded









Total goals in Cardiff MU matches

SCORED + CONCEDED Home Away All
Match total goals = 0 6%6%6%
Match total goals = 1 0%12%6%
Match total goals = 2 31%31%31%
Match total goals = 3 19%12%16%
Match total goals = 4 31%25%28%
Match total goals = 5+ 12%12%12%
Match total goals = 0 or 1 6%19%12%
Match total goals = 2 or 3 50%44%47%
Match total goals = 4+ 44%38%41%








Goal margins

WINNING MARGINS  1  2   3  4+ 
Home wins  21 10
Away wins  21 10
Home & Away wins  42 20
LOSING MARGINS  1  2   3  4+ 
Home defeats  03 21
Away defeats  22 00
Home & Away defeats  25 21
Cardiff MU have obtained as many one-goal margin wins as wins with a margin of 2 goals or more (4 wins for each).

A majority of Cardiff MU's defeats had a margin of 2 goals or more (8 defeats), while 2 of their defeats had a one-goal margin.









Home vs Away comparisons

Home / Away points Home Away
  % Points 47%
53%




Home / Away PPG
 Points Per Game at Home (PPGH)1.13
 Points Per Game Away (PPGA)1.25
Home / Away goals Home Away
  % Goals scored 47%
53%
  % Goals conceded 57%
43%
  League average 51%
49%







Cardiff MU scores

FT at home
2-2 3 19%
0-2 2 12%
2-1 2 12%
1-1 2 12%
1-4 1 6%
0-4 1 6%
1-3 1 6%
0-3 1 6%
4-1 1 6%
2-0 1 6%
0-0 1 6%
FT away
1-1 5 31%
2-2 2 12%
1-0 2 12%
2-3 1 6%
1-3 1 6%
0-3 1 6%
4-2 1 6%
1-2 1 6%
3-1 1 6%
0-0 1 6%
The Cardiff MU score with the most occurences in home matches during the season in the league has been 2-2 so far (3 times). The Cardiff MU score with the most occurences in away matches during the season in the league has been 1-1 so far (5 times).


 flag

The New Saints

(regular season)

Seasonal match statistics

GP W D L  
  Home 16 13 0 3  
  Away 16 13 2 1  
  Total 32 26 2 4  




The New Saints' progression (home & away)

Line graph variation:   win:+2  draw:0  defeat:-1
 




Results

  The New Saints results 2.5+ CS FTS
10 Aug 25 The New Saints 0:3 Briton Ferry + - +
16 Aug 25 Penybont 0:2 The New Saints - + -
22 Aug 25 The New Saints 3:0 Connahs Quay + + -
25 Aug 25 Colwyn Bay 1:1 The New Saints - - -
30 Aug 25 Barry 0:0 The New Saints - + +
6 Sep 25 The New Saints 5:0 Haverfordwest + + -
13 Sep 25 The New Saints 6:0 Llanelli Town + + -
19 Sep 25 Cardiff MU 1:3 The New Saints + - -
23 Sep 25 The New Saints 4:2 Flint + - -
26 Sep 25 Bala Town 0:2 The New Saints - + -
4 Oct 25 The New Saints 4:0 Barry + + -
7 Oct 25 Caernarfon 1:3 The New Saints + - -
11 Oct 25 The New Saints 6:2 Penybont + - -
24 Oct 25 Llanelli Town 0:4 The New Saints + + -
1 Nov 25 Haverfordwest 2:3 The New Saints + - -
7 Nov 25 The New Saints 2:3 Cardiff MU + - -
14 Nov 25 Flint 0:3 The New Saints + + -
28 Nov 25 The New Saints 2:0 Caernarfon - + -
9 Dec 25 Briton Ferry 0:2 The New Saints - + -
31 Dec 25 Connahs Quay 3:1 The New Saints + - -
6 Jan 26 The New Saints 2:1 Bala Town + - -
13 Jan 26 The New Saints 1:0 Colwyn Bay - + -
24 Jan 26 The New Saints 1:0 Barry - + -
7 Feb 26 The New Saints 6:0 Penybont + + -
13 Feb 26 Colwyn Bay 0:2 The New Saints - + -
20 Feb 26 The New Saints 2:1 Caernarfon + - -
3 Mar 26 Connahs Quay 1:2 The New Saints + - -
14 Mar 26 Penybont 1:2 The New Saints + - -
20 Mar 26 The New Saints 0:2 Colwyn Bay - - +
27 Mar 26 Caernarfon 0:4 The New Saints + + -
3 Apr 26 The New Saints 2:1 Connahs Quay + - -
18 Apr 26 Barry 0:1 The New Saints - + -
















Comparison with league average


The New Saints (32 matches) vs league average

(overall)The New Saints League AVG
Points per game  2.50 1.37
% Wins  81% 37%
% Draws  6% 26%
% Defeats  12% 37%
Goals scored per game  2.53 1.45
Goals conceded per game  0.78 1.45
% Clean sheets  53% 29%
% Failed To Score  9% 29%
% Won To Nil  50% 21%
% Lost To Nil  6% 21%
Total goals per game  3.31 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  88% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  66% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  41% 36%
% both teams scored  41% 51%

The New Saints at home (16 matches) vs league average at home

(home matches)The New Saints League AVG
Points per game  2.44 1.34
% Wins  81% 36%
% Draws  0% 26%
% Defeats  19% 38%
Goals scored per game  2.88 1.48
Goals conceded per game  0.94 1.41
% Clean sheets  50% 28%
% Failed To Score  12% 30%
% Won To Nil  50% 19%
% Lost To Nil  12% 22%
Total goals per game  3.81 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  88% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  75% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  44% 36%
% both teams scored  38% 51%

The New Saints away (16 matches) vs league average away

(away matches)The New Saints League AVG
Points per game  2.56 1.40
% Wins  81% 38%
% Draws  12% 26%
% Defeats  6% 36%
Goals scored per game  2.19 1.41
Goals conceded per game  0.63 1.48
% Clean sheets  56% 30%
% Failed To Score  6% 28%
% Won To Nil  50% 22%
% Lost To Nil  0% 19%
Total goals per game  2.81 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  88% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  56% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  38% 36%
% both teams scored  44% 51%
The 'League average' indicator refers to the average value for all teams in the league since the beginning of the season.

Results table

  GP Pts Home Away
1 The New Saints 32 80
2 Connahs Quay 32 58 3:0 3:1 h2h
2:1 1:2
3 Haverfordwest 32 48 5:0 2:3 h2h
   
4 Barry 32 46 4:0 0:0 h2h
1:0 0:1
5 Caernarfon 32 45 2:0 1:3 h2h
2:1 0:4
6 Colwyn Bay 32 45 1:0 1:1 h2h
0:2 0:2
7 Briton Ferry 32 45 0:3 0:2 h2h
   
8 Penybont 32 41 6:2 0:2 h2h
6:0 1:2
9 Cardiff MU 32 38 2:3 1:3 h2h
   
10 Flint 32 35 4:2 0:3 h2h
   
11 Bala Town 32 32 2:1 0:2 h2h
   
12 Llanelli Town 32 13 6:0 0:4 h2h
   

The New Saints stats rank the team in 1st position in the the league table with 80 points, 22 points above Connahs Quay.








Goals scored & conceded

SCORING Home Away All
Goals scored (GF) 46 3581
GF per match 2.882.19 2.53
Goals conceded (GA) 151025
GA per match 0.940.63 0.78
GF + GA per match 3.812.813.31
GF+GA over 0.5 100%94%97%
GF+GA over 1.5 88%88%88%
GF+GA over 2.5 75%56%66%
GF+GA over 3.5 44%38%41%
GF+GA over 4.5 38%6%22%
GF+GA over 5.5 25%0%12%








No goal scored / conceded

Home Away All
Clean sheets 50%56%53%
Won-to-nil 50%50%50%
Failed to score 12%6%9%
Lost-to-nil 12%0%6%








Scoring & Conceding rates

Home Away All
Scoring Rate 88%94%91%
Conceding Rate 50%44%47%

Scoring rate: percentage of matches where the team scored at least one goal
Conceding rate: percentage of matches where the team conceded at least one goal








Goals scored / Goals conceded

Home Away All
GF over 0.5 88%94%91%
GF over 1.5 75%75%75%
GF over 2.5 44%38%41%
GF over 3.5 38%12%25%
GF over 4.5 25%0%12%
GA over 0.5 50%44%47%
GA over 1.5 31%12%22%
GA over 2.5 12%6%9%
GA over 3.5 0%0%0%
GA over 4.5 0%0%0%

GF: goals scored
GA: goals conceded









Total goals in The New Saints matches

SCORED + CONCEDED Home Away All
Match total goals = 0 0%6%3%
Match total goals = 1 12%6%9%
Match total goals = 2 12%31%22%
Match total goals = 3 31%19%25%
Match total goals = 4 6%31%19%
Match total goals = 5+ 38%6%22%
Match total goals = 0 or 1 12%12%12%
Match total goals = 2 or 3 44%50%47%
Match total goals = 4+ 44%38%41%








Goal margins

WINNING MARGINS  1  2   3  4+ 
Home wins  52 15
Away wins  46 12
Home & Away wins  98 27
LOSING MARGINS  1  2   3  4+ 
Home defeats  11 10
Away defeats  01 00
Home & Away defeats  12 10

A majority of The New Saints' wins have been obtained with a margin of 2 goals or more (17 wins), while 9 of their wins had a one-goal margin.

A majority of The New Saints' defeats had a margin of 2 goals or more (3 defeats), while 1 of their defeats had a one-goal margin.









Home vs Away comparisons

Home / Away points Home Away
  % Points 49%
51%




Home / Away PPG
 Points Per Game at Home (PPGH)2.44
 Points Per Game Away (PPGA)2.56
Home / Away goals Home Away
  % Goals scored 57%
43%
  % Goals conceded 60%
40%
  League average 51%
49%







The New Saints scores

FT at home
2-1 3 19%
6-0 2 12%
1-0 2 12%
6-2 1 6%
5-0 1 6%
2-3 1 6%
0-3 1 6%
4-2 1 6%
0-2 1 6%
4-0 1 6%
3-0 1 6%
2-0 1 6%
FT away
0-2 4 25%
0-4 2 12%
1-3 2 12%
1-2 2 12%
2-3 1 6%
0-3 1 6%
3-1 1 6%
1-1 1 6%
0-1 1 6%
0-0 1 6%
The The New Saints score with the most occurences in home matches during the season in the league has been 2-1 so far (3 times). The The New Saints score with the most occurences in away matches during the season in the league has been 0-2 so far (4 times).








Tables overview

Points

GP pts
The New Sain. 32 80
Connahs Quay 32 58
Haverfordwest 32 48
Barry 32 46
Caernarfon 32 45
Colwyn Bay 32 45
Briton Ferry 32 45
Penybont 32 41
Cardiff MU 32 38
Flint 32 35
Bala Town 32 32
Llanelli Town 32 13

Form (last 8)

GP pts
The New Sain. 8 21
Haverfordwest 8 18
Briton Ferry 8 17
Barry 8 16
Colwyn Bay 8 11
Connahs Quay 8 9
Caernarfon 8 9
Cardiff MU 8 9
Bala Town 8 8
Flint 8 8
Llanelli Town 8 5
Penybont 8 2

Home

GP pts
The New Sain. 16 39
Connahs Quay 16 29
Barry 16 26
Haverfordwest 16 26
Colwyn Bay 16 23
Caernarfon 16 21
Penybont 16 21
Briton Ferry 16 19
Cardiff MU 16 18
Bala Town 16 16
Flint 16 14
Llanelli Town 16 5

Away

GP pts
The New Sain. 16 41
Connahs Quay 16 29
Briton Ferry 16 26
Caernarfon 16 24
Colwyn Bay 16 22
Haverfordwest 16 22
Flint 16 21
Cardiff MU 16 20
Barry 16 20
Penybont 16 20
Bala Town 16 16
Llanelli Town 16 8

Offence

GP GF
The New Sain. 32 81
Connahs Quay 32 61
Caernarfon 32 56
Flint 32 48
Haverfordwest 32 48
Briton Ferry 32 46
Barry 32 43
Cardiff MU 32 43
Colwyn Bay 32 41
Penybont 32 39
Bala Town 32 33
Llanelli Town 32 17

Defence

GP GA
The New Sain. 32 25
Barry 32 33
Colwyn Bay 32 37
Connahs Quay 32 38
Haverfordwest 32 43
Bala Town 32 45
Caernarfon 32 47
Briton Ferry 32 47
Penybont 32 49
Cardiff MU 32 51
Flint 32 59
Llanelli Town 32 82


 

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