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wales_2026
Wales - Cymru Premier
SUMMARY MATCHES H2H GOALS
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Visual table

  GP Pts
1  The New Saints 32 80
2  Connahs Quay 32 58
3  Haverfordwest 32 48
4  Barry 32 46
5  Caernarfon 32 45
6  Colwyn Bay 32 45
7  Briton Ferry 32 45
8  Penybont 32 41
9  Cardiff MU 32 38
10  Flint 32 35
11  Bala Town 32 32
12  Llanelli Town 32 13

 
Sat 14 Mar 2026
Penybont1 2The New Saints






Seasonal streaks


3rd consecutive defeat for Penybont.
8th consecutive win for The New Saints.
3rd consecutive away win for The New Saints.
3rd consecutive game where The New Saints conceded.
2nd consecutive away game where The New Saints conceded.
23rd consecutive game where The New Saints scored.
11th consecutive away game where The New Saints scored.
3rd consecutive game where Penybont conceded.
 

 

Outcome Surprise-Level

Points Per Game (before the match)
Penybont at home1.54
The New Saints away2.46
OutcomeOutcome surprise-level
Away win
34.6%
Scale: from 0 (less surprising) to 100 (more surprising)

Outcome Surprise-levels

More information on the calculation of the Outcome surprise-level is outlined in the following blog article:
Evaluating surprising results







 






 flag

Penybont

(regular season)

Seasonal match statistics

GP W D L  
  Home 16 5 6 5  
  Away 16 6 2 8  
  Total 32 11 8 13  




Penybont's progression (home & away)

Line graph variation:   win:+2  draw:0  defeat:-1
 




Results

  Penybont results 2.5+ CS FTS
8 Aug 25 Haverfordwest 0:1 Penybont - + -
16 Aug 25 Penybont 0:2 The New Saints - - +
22 Aug 25 Barry 2:3 Penybont + - -
25 Aug 25 Penybont 2:0 Llanelli Town - + -
30 Aug 25 Penybont 0:1 Connahs Quay - - +
6 Sep 25 Bala Town 0:0 Penybont - + +
13 Sep 25 Penybont 5:0 Flint + + -
20 Sep 25 Caernarfon 1:2 Penybont + - -
23 Sep 25 Cardiff MU 0:4 Penybont + + -
27 Sep 25 Penybont 1:0 Colwyn Bay - + -
3 Oct 25 Briton Ferry 0:0 Penybont - + +
7 Oct 25 Penybont 2:1 Haverfordwest + - -
11 Oct 25 The New Saints 6:2 Penybont + - -
25 Oct 25 Penybont 0:2 Caernarfon - - +
1 Nov 25 Flint 3:4 Penybont + - -
8 Nov 25 Connahs Quay 4:0 Penybont + - +
15 Nov 25 Penybont 2:1 Bala Town + - -
29 Nov 25 Colwyn Bay 5:4 Penybont + - -
9 Dec 25 Penybont 1:1 Barry - - -
26 Dec 25 Penybont 1:1 Briton Ferry - - -
1 Jan 26 Llanelli Town 0:1 Penybont - + -
13 Jan 26 Penybont 1:1 Cardiff MU - - -
24 Jan 26 Penybont 0:0 Caernarfon - + +
7 Feb 26 The New Saints 6:0 Penybont + - +
14 Feb 26 Penybont 0:0 Connahs Quay - + +
21 Feb 26 Colwyn Bay 3:1 Penybont + - -
3 Mar 26 Barry 1:0 Penybont - - +
14 Mar 26 Penybont 1:2 The New Saints + - -
21 Mar 26 Connahs Quay 2:1 Penybont + - -
28 Mar 26 Penybont 0:0 Colwyn Bay - + +
3 Apr 26 Penybont 0:2 Barry - - +
18 Apr 26 Caernarfon 2:0 Penybont - - +
















Comparison with league average


Penybont (32 matches) vs league average

(overall)Penybont League AVG
Points per game  1.28 1.37
% Wins  34% 37%
% Draws  25% 26%
% Defeats  41% 37%
Goals scored per game  1.22 1.45
Goals conceded per game  1.53 1.45
% Clean sheets  34% 29%
% Failed To Score  41% 29%
% Won To Nil  19% 21%
% Lost To Nil  25% 21%
Total goals per game  2.75 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  69% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  44% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  28% 36%
% both teams scored  41% 51%

Penybont at home (16 matches) vs league average at home

(home matches)Penybont League AVG
Points per game  1.31 1.34
% Wins  31% 36%
% Draws  38% 26%
% Defeats  31% 38%
Goals scored per game  1.00 1.48
Goals conceded per game  0.88 1.41
% Clean sheets  38% 28%
% Failed To Score  44% 30%
% Won To Nil  19% 19%
% Lost To Nil  25% 22%
Total goals per game  1.88 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  69% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  25% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  6% 36%
% both teams scored  38% 51%

Penybont away (16 matches) vs league average away

(away matches)Penybont League AVG
Points per game  1.25 1.40
% Wins  38% 38%
% Draws  12% 26%
% Defeats  50% 36%
Goals scored per game  1.44 1.41
Goals conceded per game  2.19 1.48
% Clean sheets  31% 30%
% Failed To Score  38% 28%
% Won To Nil  19% 22%
% Lost To Nil  25% 19%
Total goals per game  3.63 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  69% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  62% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  50% 36%
% both teams scored  44% 51%
The 'League average' indicator refers to the average value for all teams in the league since the beginning of the season.

Results table

  GP Pts Home Away
1 The New Saints 32 80 0:2 6:2 h2h
1:2 6:0
2 Connahs Quay 32 58 0:1 4:0 h2h
0:0 2:1
3 Haverfordwest 32 48 2:1 0:1 h2h
   
4 Barry 32 46 1:1 2:3 h2h
0:2 1:0
5 Caernarfon 32 45 0:2 1:2 h2h
0:0 2:0
6 Colwyn Bay 32 45 1:0 5:4 h2h
0:0 3:1
7 Briton Ferry 32 45 1:1 0:0 h2h
   
8 Penybont 32 41
9 Cardiff MU 32 38 1:1 0:4 h2h
   
10 Flint 32 35 5:0 3:4 h2h
   
11 Bala Town 32 32 2:1 0:0 h2h
   
12 Llanelli Town 32 13 2:0 0:1 h2h
   








Goals scored & conceded

SCORING Home Away All
Goals scored (GF) 16 2339
GF per match 1.001.44 1.22
Goals conceded (GA) 143549
GA per match 0.882.19 1.53
GF + GA per match 1.883.632.75
GF+GA over 0.5 81%88%84%
GF+GA over 1.5 69%69%69%
GF+GA over 2.5 25%62%44%
GF+GA over 3.5 6%50%28%
GF+GA over 4.5 6%31%19%
GF+GA over 5.5 0%25%12%








No goal scored / conceded

Home Away All
Clean sheets 38%31%34%
Won-to-nil 19%19%19%
Failed to score 44%38%41%
Lost-to-nil 25%25%25%








Scoring & Conceding rates

Home Away All
Scoring Rate 56%62%59%
Conceding Rate 62%69%66%

Scoring rate: percentage of matches where the team scored at least one goal
Conceding rate: percentage of matches where the team conceded at least one goal








Goals scored / Goals conceded

Home Away All
GF over 0.5 56%62%59%
GF over 1.5 25%38%31%
GF over 2.5 6%25%16%
GF over 3.5 6%19%12%
GF over 4.5 6%0%3%
GA over 0.5 62%69%66%
GA over 1.5 25%56%41%
GA over 2.5 0%38%19%
GA over 3.5 0%25%12%
GA over 4.5 0%19%9%

GF: goals scored
GA: goals conceded









Total goals in Penybont matches

SCORED + CONCEDED Home Away All
Match total goals = 0 19%12%16%
Match total goals = 1 12%19%16%
Match total goals = 2 44%6%25%
Match total goals = 3 19%12%16%
Match total goals = 4 0%19%9%
Match total goals = 5+ 6%31%19%
Match total goals = 0 or 1 31%31%31%
Match total goals = 2 or 3 62%19%41%
Match total goals = 4+ 6%50%28%








Goal margins

WINNING MARGINS  1  2   3  4+ 
Home wins  31 01
Away wins  50 01
Home & Away wins  81 02
LOSING MARGINS  1  2   3  4+ 
Home defeats  23 00
Away defeats  32 03
Home & Away defeats  55 03

A majority of Penybont's wins have been obtained with a one-goal margin (8 wins), while 3 of their wins had a margin of 2 goals or more.

A majority of Penybont's defeats had a margin of 2 goals or more (8 defeats), while 5 of their defeats had a one-goal margin.









Home vs Away comparisons

Home / Away points Home Away
  % Points 51%
49%




Home / Away PPG
 Points Per Game at Home (PPGH)1.31
 Points Per Game Away (PPGA)1.25
Home / Away goals Home Away
  % Goals scored 41%
59%
  % Goals conceded 29%
71%
  League average 51%
49%







Penybont scores

FT at home
0-2 3 19%
1-1 3 19%
0-0 3 19%
2-1 2 12%
5-0 1 6%
1-2 1 6%
0-1 1 6%
2-0 1 6%
1-0 1 6%
FT away
0-1 2 12%
0-0 2 12%
6-2 1 6%
6-0 1 6%
5-4 1 6%
3-4 1 6%
0-4 1 6%
2-3 1 6%
1-2 1 6%
3-1 1 6%
2-1 1 6%
4-0 1 6%
2-0 1 6%
1-0 1 6%



 flag

The New Saints

(regular season)

Seasonal match statistics

GP W D L  
  Home 16 13 0 3  
  Away 16 13 2 1  
  Total 32 26 2 4  




The New Saints' progression (home & away)

Line graph variation:   win:+2  draw:0  defeat:-1
 




Results

  The New Saints results 2.5+ CS FTS
10 Aug 25 The New Saints 0:3 Briton Ferry + - +
16 Aug 25 Penybont 0:2 The New Saints - + -
22 Aug 25 The New Saints 3:0 Connahs Quay + + -
25 Aug 25 Colwyn Bay 1:1 The New Saints - - -
30 Aug 25 Barry 0:0 The New Saints - + +
6 Sep 25 The New Saints 5:0 Haverfordwest + + -
13 Sep 25 The New Saints 6:0 Llanelli Town + + -
19 Sep 25 Cardiff MU 1:3 The New Saints + - -
23 Sep 25 The New Saints 4:2 Flint + - -
26 Sep 25 Bala Town 0:2 The New Saints - + -
4 Oct 25 The New Saints 4:0 Barry + + -
7 Oct 25 Caernarfon 1:3 The New Saints + - -
11 Oct 25 The New Saints 6:2 Penybont + - -
24 Oct 25 Llanelli Town 0:4 The New Saints + + -
1 Nov 25 Haverfordwest 2:3 The New Saints + - -
7 Nov 25 The New Saints 2:3 Cardiff MU + - -
14 Nov 25 Flint 0:3 The New Saints + + -
28 Nov 25 The New Saints 2:0 Caernarfon - + -
9 Dec 25 Briton Ferry 0:2 The New Saints - + -
31 Dec 25 Connahs Quay 3:1 The New Saints + - -
6 Jan 26 The New Saints 2:1 Bala Town + - -
13 Jan 26 The New Saints 1:0 Colwyn Bay - + -
24 Jan 26 The New Saints 1:0 Barry - + -
7 Feb 26 The New Saints 6:0 Penybont + + -
13 Feb 26 Colwyn Bay 0:2 The New Saints - + -
20 Feb 26 The New Saints 2:1 Caernarfon + - -
3 Mar 26 Connahs Quay 1:2 The New Saints + - -
14 Mar 26 Penybont 1:2 The New Saints + - -
20 Mar 26 The New Saints 0:2 Colwyn Bay - - +
27 Mar 26 Caernarfon 0:4 The New Saints + + -
3 Apr 26 The New Saints 2:1 Connahs Quay + - -
18 Apr 26 Barry 0:1 The New Saints - + -
















Comparison with league average


The New Saints (32 matches) vs league average

(overall)The New Saints League AVG
Points per game  2.50 1.37
% Wins  81% 37%
% Draws  6% 26%
% Defeats  12% 37%
Goals scored per game  2.53 1.45
Goals conceded per game  0.78 1.45
% Clean sheets  53% 29%
% Failed To Score  9% 29%
% Won To Nil  50% 21%
% Lost To Nil  6% 21%
Total goals per game  3.31 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  88% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  66% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  41% 36%
% both teams scored  41% 51%

The New Saints at home (16 matches) vs league average at home

(home matches)The New Saints League AVG
Points per game  2.44 1.34
% Wins  81% 36%
% Draws  0% 26%
% Defeats  19% 38%
Goals scored per game  2.88 1.48
Goals conceded per game  0.94 1.41
% Clean sheets  50% 28%
% Failed To Score  12% 30%
% Won To Nil  50% 19%
% Lost To Nil  12% 22%
Total goals per game  3.81 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  88% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  75% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  44% 36%
% both teams scored  38% 51%

The New Saints away (16 matches) vs league average away

(away matches)The New Saints League AVG
Points per game  2.56 1.40
% Wins  81% 38%
% Draws  12% 26%
% Defeats  6% 36%
Goals scored per game  2.19 1.41
Goals conceded per game  0.63 1.48
% Clean sheets  56% 30%
% Failed To Score  6% 28%
% Won To Nil  50% 22%
% Lost To Nil  0% 19%
Total goals per game  2.81 2.90
% over 1.5 goals  88% 78%
% over 2.5 goals  56% 54%
% over 3.5 goals  38% 36%
% both teams scored  44% 51%
The 'League average' indicator refers to the average value for all teams in the league since the beginning of the season.

Results table

  GP Pts Home Away
1 The New Saints 32 80
2 Connahs Quay 32 58 3:0 3:1 h2h
2:1 1:2
3 Haverfordwest 32 48 5:0 2:3 h2h
   
4 Barry 32 46 4:0 0:0 h2h
1:0 0:1
5 Caernarfon 32 45 2:0 1:3 h2h
2:1 0:4
6 Colwyn Bay 32 45 1:0 1:1 h2h
0:2 0:2
7 Briton Ferry 32 45 0:3 0:2 h2h
   
8 Penybont 32 41 6:2 0:2 h2h
6:0 1:2
9 Cardiff MU 32 38 2:3 1:3 h2h
   
10 Flint 32 35 4:2 0:3 h2h
   
11 Bala Town 32 32 2:1 0:2 h2h
   
12 Llanelli Town 32 13 6:0 0:4 h2h
   

The New Saints stats rank the team in 1st position in the the league table with 80 points, 22 points above Connahs Quay.








Goals scored & conceded

SCORING Home Away All
Goals scored (GF) 46 3581
GF per match 2.882.19 2.53
Goals conceded (GA) 151025
GA per match 0.940.63 0.78
GF + GA per match 3.812.813.31
GF+GA over 0.5 100%94%97%
GF+GA over 1.5 88%88%88%
GF+GA over 2.5 75%56%66%
GF+GA over 3.5 44%38%41%
GF+GA over 4.5 38%6%22%
GF+GA over 5.5 25%0%12%








No goal scored / conceded

Home Away All
Clean sheets 50%56%53%
Won-to-nil 50%50%50%
Failed to score 12%6%9%
Lost-to-nil 12%0%6%








Scoring & Conceding rates

Home Away All
Scoring Rate 88%94%91%
Conceding Rate 50%44%47%

Scoring rate: percentage of matches where the team scored at least one goal
Conceding rate: percentage of matches where the team conceded at least one goal








Goals scored / Goals conceded

Home Away All
GF over 0.5 88%94%91%
GF over 1.5 75%75%75%
GF over 2.5 44%38%41%
GF over 3.5 38%12%25%
GF over 4.5 25%0%12%
GA over 0.5 50%44%47%
GA over 1.5 31%12%22%
GA over 2.5 12%6%9%
GA over 3.5 0%0%0%
GA over 4.5 0%0%0%

GF: goals scored
GA: goals conceded









Total goals in The New Saints matches

SCORED + CONCEDED Home Away All
Match total goals = 0 0%6%3%
Match total goals = 1 12%6%9%
Match total goals = 2 12%31%22%
Match total goals = 3 31%19%25%
Match total goals = 4 6%31%19%
Match total goals = 5+ 38%6%22%
Match total goals = 0 or 1 12%12%12%
Match total goals = 2 or 3 44%50%47%
Match total goals = 4+ 44%38%41%








Goal margins

WINNING MARGINS  1  2   3  4+ 
Home wins  52 15
Away wins  46 12
Home & Away wins  98 27
LOSING MARGINS  1  2   3  4+ 
Home defeats  11 10
Away defeats  01 00
Home & Away defeats  12 10

A majority of The New Saints' wins have been obtained with a margin of 2 goals or more (17 wins), while 9 of their wins had a one-goal margin.

A majority of The New Saints' defeats had a margin of 2 goals or more (3 defeats), while 1 of their defeats had a one-goal margin.









Home vs Away comparisons

Home / Away points Home Away
  % Points 49%
51%




Home / Away PPG
 Points Per Game at Home (PPGH)2.44
 Points Per Game Away (PPGA)2.56
Home / Away goals Home Away
  % Goals scored 57%
43%
  % Goals conceded 60%
40%
  League average 51%
49%







The New Saints scores

FT at home
2-1 3 19%
6-0 2 12%
1-0 2 12%
6-2 1 6%
5-0 1 6%
2-3 1 6%
0-3 1 6%
4-2 1 6%
0-2 1 6%
4-0 1 6%
3-0 1 6%
2-0 1 6%
FT away
0-2 4 25%
0-4 2 12%
1-3 2 12%
1-2 2 12%
2-3 1 6%
0-3 1 6%
3-1 1 6%
1-1 1 6%
0-1 1 6%
0-0 1 6%
The The New Saints score with the most occurences in home matches during the season in the league has been 2-1 so far (3 times). The The New Saints score with the most occurences in away matches during the season in the league has been 0-2 so far (4 times).








Tables overview

Points

GP pts
The New Sain. 32 80
Connahs Quay 32 58
Haverfordwest 32 48
Barry 32 46
Caernarfon 32 45
Colwyn Bay 32 45
Briton Ferry 32 45
Penybont 32 41
Cardiff MU 32 38
Flint 32 35
Bala Town 32 32
Llanelli Town 32 13

Form (last 8)

GP pts
The New Sain. 8 21
Haverfordwest 8 18
Briton Ferry 8 17
Barry 8 16
Colwyn Bay 8 11
Connahs Quay 8 9
Caernarfon 8 9
Cardiff MU 8 9
Bala Town 8 8
Flint 8 8
Llanelli Town 8 5
Penybont 8 2

Home

GP pts
The New Sain. 16 39
Connahs Quay 16 29
Barry 16 26
Haverfordwest 16 26
Colwyn Bay 16 23
Caernarfon 16 21
Penybont 16 21
Briton Ferry 16 19
Cardiff MU 16 18
Bala Town 16 16
Flint 16 14
Llanelli Town 16 5

Away

GP pts
The New Sain. 16 41
Connahs Quay 16 29
Briton Ferry 16 26
Caernarfon 16 24
Colwyn Bay 16 22
Haverfordwest 16 22
Flint 16 21
Cardiff MU 16 20
Barry 16 20
Penybont 16 20
Bala Town 16 16
Llanelli Town 16 8

Offence

GP GF
The New Sain. 32 81
Connahs Quay 32 61
Caernarfon 32 56
Flint 32 48
Haverfordwest 32 48
Briton Ferry 32 46
Barry 32 43
Cardiff MU 32 43
Colwyn Bay 32 41
Penybont 32 39
Bala Town 32 33
Llanelli Town 32 17

Defence

GP GA
The New Sain. 32 25
Barry 32 33
Colwyn Bay 32 37
Connahs Quay 32 38
Haverfordwest 32 43
Bala Town 32 45
Caernarfon 32 47
Briton Ferry 32 47
Penybont 32 49
Cardiff MU 32 51
Flint 32 59
Llanelli Town 32 82


 

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