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Evaluating matches difficulty-level
SoccerSTATS.com - updated on: 16 Jun 2020
When the league is well into the season, we can try to get a sense of how difficult each team's run of played matches might have been and similarly, how easy or hard their upcoming matches look like.
Ten matches into the season and our team is solidly docked to the 4th spot. A rather positive ranking we might think,
considering the last two sluggish campaigns. Confidence kicks in. The prospects of a successful season
are starting to materialize.
That early league ranking feeling
We all know it. An early league table ranking is not very meaningful in terms of team performance. Yet any league ranking will carry along its share of influence on morale, team visibility,
and rushed opinions on whether or not a club's performance is in line with its stated or perceived objectives.
Evaluating the opposition level
We look at the league table and we want to know how our team fares. How it matches up against its rivals and against its objectives.
We want to see how firmly the top teams are standing their ground. Is there a tight race for the title or for the European spots?
What's happening near the relegation zone? Any early signs of relative weakness, or any looming nightmare season ahead for some?
What the teams have really achieved
We know that an away win at the leaders' will influence a team's ranking exactly as much as a home win against a relegation-zone team would.
To get a sense of how meaningful a points tally is, we want to know more about how hard it might have been for each team to pick up their points.
How difficult each team's next matches are expected to be
To get an idea as to how difficult upcoming matches could be for a given team, the same calculation methold is also applied regarding the team's remaining matches.
The calculation will thus be based on the Points Per Game of each of the opponents that the team is scheduled to play against until the end of the season, depending on whether such opponents are to be played at home or away.
Played matches vs future matches difficulty levels
That value in the "Difference (Played - Remaining)" column provides a way to measure, for each team, the difference between the estimated difficulty of
the matches already played, versus the same calculation applied to the team's remaining matches.
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